On October 29 in Las Vegas Georges St. Pierre once again faces an opponent, Carlos Condit, that few outside Condit's camp give any chance at success. GSP has been such a dominant welterweight for so long, really his entire career, that it is difficult now for fans to get excited about any of his matches. With the exception of the slip ups against Matt hughes and especially Matt Serra, St. Pierre has dispatched all comers with relative ease. It seems GSP's kryptonite is only men named Matt. He is criticized for not finishing fights as of late. His last finish was almost 3 years ago against BJ Penn. He plays it safe and works for a decision detractors say. Well, that may be true but it is his opponents' job to not allow GSP to impose his game plan and beat him. Above all it is GSP's job to win, not to provide entertainment. Will Carlos Condit prove any different?
Condit has been on a tear since coming over to the UFC from the WEC. He lost his first bout against Martin Kampmann but has knocked out his last 3 opponents including previously un-knocked out Dan Hardy and Dong Hyun Kim. Of his 27 victories, Condit has finished his opponent 26 times via either KO or submission. Does that mean anything against GSP? Probably not. St. Pierre learned a huge lesson against Matt Serra. Don't stand and trade against anyone. Period. GSP has developed the most insulated style of MMA in the game. GSP has shown too much speed and technique for everyone on the feet. He engages when he wants to, how he wants to and takes less chances than Tom Coughlin on a fourth and one. For all his highlight reel KOs I don't see Condit having the technique to coax a mistake from GSP. If he does, GSP will get one of his patented takedowns and dominate on the ground. GSP plays it safe but wins via fourth round submission. Carlos Condit will show up to fight, not to be able to say he lasted five rounds against GSP like many of the previous challengers.
Ah, what might have been. For a couple of years now my dream match has been Nick Diaz vs. GSP. It was supposed to happen at UFC 137 but for whatever reason Nick Diaz orchestrated his own dismissal from the main event. As a punishment/reward he is still on the card and now faces BJ Penn. In many ways this will make for a much more exciting match than the proposed Diaz vs. GSP. Nick Diaz' Achilles heel has shown to be elite wrestlers which GSP stands atop of. But in BJ Penn, Diaz faces an opponent willing and able to stand or go to the ground with him. Diaz has always said opponents fear him on the ground. I don't think BJ Penn shares the sentiment. Penn fears nothing and no one, especially in the Octagon. Both guys have displayed iron chins. Has Penn ever even been rocked? No. But Diaz doesn't rely on power but volume. He wears opponents down with a pitter patter of punches and well placed and timed strikes. Ask Robbie Lawler and Paul Daley. He absorbs punishment like vitamins. Ask Gomi and Cyborg. I doubt BJ Penn attempts to ground and pound Nick Diaz. I expect a stand up war which Diaz will win in the third round via stoppage. His work on Penn's body by then taken its toll and a fighter notorious for relying on physical attributes rather than preparation.
My picks for the rest of the card :
Hatsu Hioki upsets George Roop
Roy Nelson sends Mirko Filipovic into well deserved retirement
Cheik Kongo lays the law down on Matt Mitrione
Scott Jorgensen out hustles Jeff Curran
Donald Cerrone taps Dennis Siver
Tyson Griffin debuts with a win against BartPalazsweski
Brandon Vera returns triumphantly against Eliot Marshal
No comments:
Post a Comment